POKIQ

poker glossary

Fold equity

Fold equity is the part of a bet or raise that earns its money from the chance the opponent folds, rather than from the chance you hold the best hand.

It is what makes aggression worth more than passivity with the same cards. Calling can only win by having the better hand at the end. Betting can win that way as well, and it can also win right now.

How much fold equity you have is not fixed. It depends on the opponent, the board, the size of the bet and what you have done earlier in the hand, and against a player who never folds it is close to zero however good the bet looks.

an example

your cards

board

You have nine cards that make the best flush, worth 35.0% by the river. Raising here can win two ways: the opponent folds now, or they call and a heart comes. The first way is the fold equity, and it is added on top of the equity the cards already have.

This example is made up. The real one is in your own hand history: find fold equity in your own hands and see how often it came up and what it cost you.

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